Statistical & Scientific Thinking http://jsdstat.com/Statblog Using principles of Science and Statistical Thinking in Policy Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:14:07 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 Even Skeptics Reconsidering Global Warming Data http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/10/23/even-skeptics-reconsidering-global-warming-data/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/10/23/even-skeptics-reconsidering-global-warming-data/#comments Mon, 24 Oct 2011 03:48:15 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/?p=512
climate BEST temperature comparison1 300x201 Even Skeptics Reconsidering Global Warming Data

]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/10/23/even-skeptics-reconsidering-global-warming-data/feed/ 0 Use of Filibuster http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/10/15/use-of-filibuster/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/10/15/use-of-filibuster/#comments Sat, 15 Oct 2011 17:35:56 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/?p=503 The Republicans have subverted the Constitution by wildly expanding use of the filibuster

breakingthefilibuster 300x187 Use of Filibuster

]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/10/15/use-of-filibuster/feed/ 0 Income Distribution 1917 to Present http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/10/07/493/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/10/07/493/#comments Sat, 08 Oct 2011 01:03:26 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/?p=493 This is self-explanatory. The root of many problems and more to come. (Click on image to enlarge)

1 123125 2265681 2266033 100902 gd part1 pikettysaezfig1 300x274 Income Distribution 1917 to Present

Income Distribution1917 - Present

]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/10/07/493/feed/ 0 Unemployment is Deeper and Longer http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/08/07/unemployment-is-deeper-and-longer/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/08/07/unemployment-is-deeper-and-longer/#comments Sun, 07 Aug 2011 20:32:23 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/?p=488 ]]> This graph shows that unemployment has run deeper and for longer than any other recent recession (Depression is not included)>

EmployRessJuly2011 thumb 580x376 59853 11 300x194 Unemployment is Deeper and Longer

This Recession has been much worse

]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/08/07/unemployment-is-deeper-and-longer/feed/ 0 CBO Debt Graph http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/27/cbo-debt-graph/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/27/cbo-debt-graph/#comments Wed, 27 Jul 2011 17:12:25 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/27/cbo-debt-graph/ The debt/deficit crisis including effect of the recession:

Different Look at Debt thumb CBO Debt Graph


]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/27/cbo-debt-graph/feed/ 0 Debt/Deficit Crisis http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/27/debtdeficit-crisis/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/27/debtdeficit-crisis/#comments Wed, 27 Jul 2011 17:10:09 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/27/debtdeficit-crisis/ This cannot be emphasized enough. To consider solving debt crisis without additional revenues is absurd.

The Debt Source thumb Debt/Deficit Crisis


]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/27/debtdeficit-crisis/feed/ 0 Who has passports http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/23/who-has-passports/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/23/who-has-passports/#comments Sun, 24 Jul 2011 04:13:20 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/23/who-has-passports/ Interesting distribution of passports among the states. Not too surprising really.

passports by state thumb Who has passports


]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/07/23/who-has-passports/feed/ 0 Deindustrialization and Credit http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/05/23/deindustrialization-and-credit/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/05/23/deindustrialization-and-credit/#comments Tue, 24 May 2011 03:45:52 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/05/23/deindustrialization-and-credit/ The table below shows clearly that as industrialization waned, household credit increased. My explanation is that this is what Deming predicted. As wealth creation stopped, U. S. citizens, used to ever-increasing standard of living, turned to credit to finance their lifestyle choices.

Biggerhalechart thumb Deindustrialization and Credit


]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/05/23/deindustrialization-and-credit/feed/ 1 Which Polls Are Most Accurate? http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/05/06/which-polls-are-most-accurate/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/05/06/which-polls-are-most-accurate/#comments Sat, 07 May 2011 05:06:12 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/05/06/which-polls-are-most-accurate/ Polling Accuracy thumb Which Polls Are Most Accurate?
Nate Silver, the well known statistical reporter compared the performance of the main polling organizations forecasting elections. The results of his comparison are shown in the chart.  What is shown is the average error of the pollsters predictions calculated for the number of polls they did.  For example, Quinnipac conducted 21 polls and on average missed the mark by 3.3 points.


]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/05/06/which-polls-are-most-accurate/feed/ 0 The Deficit Explained http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/04/19/the-deficit-explained/ http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/04/19/the-deficit-explained/#comments Tue, 19 Apr 2011 19:53:13 +0000 John http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/04/19/the-deficit-explained/ DEBT DRIVERS1 thumb The Deficit ExplainedMuch misinformation has been delivered about the source of the deficit. As can be seen in this graph, there are only a few sources for most of the deficit and discretionary spending is not one of them.

 


]]> http://jsdstat.com/Statblog/2011/04/19/the-deficit-explained/feed/ 0